Difference between revisions of "SEIS Bypass Releases"

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===Purpose and Need===
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The purpose of the 2024 LTEMP SEIS is for Reclamation to analyze additional flow options at Glen Canyon Dam in response to nonnative, invasive smallmouth bass and other warmwater, nonnative species recently detected directly below the dam. The recent detection of large numbers of young-of-year smallmouth bass suggests spawning is occurring for the first time directly below the dam. The need is to disrupt the establishment of smallmouth bass below Glen Canyon Dam by limiting additional recruitment, which could threaten populations of the threatened humpback chub below the dam.
  
 
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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3bfb1; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">Purpose and Need</h2>
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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3bfb1; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">Alternatives</h2>
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The purpose of the 2024 LTEMP SEIS is for Reclamation to analyze additional flow options at Glen Canyon Dam in response to nonnative, invasive smallmouth bass and other warmwater, nonnative species recently detected directly below the dam. The recent detection of large numbers of young-of-year smallmouth bass suggests spawning is occurring for the first time directly below the dam. The need is to disrupt the establishment of smallmouth bass below Glen Canyon Dam by limiting additional recruitment, which could threaten populations of the threatened humpback chub below the dam.
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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">Alternatives</h2>
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The cold-water alternatives have been modeled for cooling effects at river miles 15 and 61. Modeling
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these locations provides a representation of potential effects on resources at different river reaches.
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The trigger for implementation would be when observed temperatures exceed 15.5 C (60 F) for 3
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consecutive days. Currently real time temperature data exists below Glen Canyon Dam and at Lees
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Ferry (river mile 0). There are additional gauges at river mile 30 and river mile 61, however these
 +
gages do not provide real time data, but can be downloaded remotely. For locations that do not have
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real time temperature data, the best available models would be used to determine trigger timing. '''The trigger location for the 15.5 C (60 F) threshold could be anywhere upstream of river mile 61, depending on the smallmouth bass distribution and size class, frequency and efficacy of sampling, or other considerations as determined through the planning and implementation process.''' Smallmouth
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bass distribution upstream of river mile 61 would be assessed based on the best available
 +
information and considered in the planning and implementation process, with the understanding
 +
that smallmouth bass sampling is limited below Lees Ferry and can have limited efficacy in assessing
 +
the locations of smaller size fish and of fish located in certain riverine environments where sampling
 +
is difficult. Smallmouth bass distribution upstream of river mile 61 will be assessed based on the best
 +
available information and considered in the planning and implementation process, with the
 +
understanding that smallmouth bass sampling can have limited efficacy in assessing the locations of
 +
smaller size fish and of fish located in certain riverine environments where sampling is difficult. [https://www.usbr.gov/uc/DocLibrary/EnvironmentalImpactStatements/GlenCanyonDamLong-TermExperimentalManagementPlan/20240703-GCDLTEMP-FinalSEIS-RecordofDecision-508-AMWD.pdf (ROD) ]
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For 2024, based on the likelihood of needing to respond to increasing river temperatures, this ROD
 +
provides guidance for smallmouth bass flow operations. '''A cool mix would occur when the average daily temperature at river mile 61 exceeds 15.5 C (60 F) for 3 consecutive days.''' The temperature
 +
data would be determined using real-time stream gage data at the dam and at Lees Ferry and existing
 +
downstream models (such as Dibble et al. 2021). '''The Cool Mix Alterative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5 C (60 F) at river mile 61. '''
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Temperature and biological monitoring would occur throughout this process to assess effectiveness.
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Gage data near river mile 61 would be accessed monthly during implementation to confirm
 +
temperature targets are being met. [https://www.usbr.gov/uc/DocLibrary/EnvironmentalImpactStatements/GlenCanyonDamLong-TermExperimentalManagementPlan/20240703-GCDLTEMP-FinalSEIS-RecordofDecision-508-AMWD.pdf (ROD) ]
  
 
The ROD states that in 2024, “The Cool Mix Alternative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5°C (60°F) at river mile 61.” Furthermore, it states that in any given year for each alternative, “The trigger location for the 15.5°C (60°F) threshold could be anywhere upstream of river mile 61, depending on the smallmouth bass distribution and size class, frequency and efficacy of sampling, or other considerations as determined through the planning and implementation process.” [[Media:2024_SMB_Flow_Offramp_-_Decision_Memo.pdf|(2024 SMB Flow Offramp - Decision Memo)]]
 
The ROD states that in 2024, “The Cool Mix Alternative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5°C (60°F) at river mile 61.” Furthermore, it states that in any given year for each alternative, “The trigger location for the 15.5°C (60°F) threshold could be anywhere upstream of river mile 61, depending on the smallmouth bass distribution and size class, frequency and efficacy of sampling, or other considerations as determined through the planning and implementation process.” [[Media:2024_SMB_Flow_Offramp_-_Decision_Memo.pdf|(2024 SMB Flow Offramp - Decision Memo)]]
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The Cool Mix Alterative would be implemented
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until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5 C (60 F) at river mile 61. [https://www.usbr.gov/uc/DocLibrary/EnvironmentalImpactStatements/GlenCanyonDamLong-TermExperimentalManagementPlan/20240703-GCDLTEMP-FinalSEIS-RecordofDecision-508-AMWD.pdf (ROD) ]
  
 
Potential off-ramps would be considered based on monitoring data. Off-ramps will occur if any  
 
Potential off-ramps would be considered based on monitoring data. Off-ramps will occur if any  
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*[http://gcdamp.com/index.php?title=Smallmouth_Bass_Page Smallmouth Bass Page]
 
*[http://gcdamp.com/index.php?title=Smallmouth_Bass_Page Smallmouth Bass Page]
 
*[https://gcdamp.com/index.php/TCD_Learning_Page The Temperature Control Page]
 
*[https://gcdamp.com/index.php/TCD_Learning_Page The Temperature Control Page]
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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">Temperature Gages</h2>
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*[https://tableau.usgs.gov/views/colorado-river-water-quality-gcd/GlenCanyonDamSiteHourlyAverages?%3Aembed=y&%3AisGuestRedirectFromVizportal=y Glen Canyon Dam Site: Hourly Averages]
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*[http://www.gcmrc.gov/discharge_qw_sediment/station/GCDAMP/09380000 Colorado River at Lees Ferry (0)]
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*[http://www.gcmrc.gov/discharge_qw_sediment/station/GCDAMP/09383100 Colorado River above Little Colorado River near Desert View, AZ (61)]
  
 
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Latest revision as of 15:50, 20 November 2024


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Purpose and Need

The purpose of the 2024 LTEMP SEIS is for Reclamation to analyze additional flow options at Glen Canyon Dam in response to nonnative, invasive smallmouth bass and other warmwater, nonnative species recently detected directly below the dam. The recent detection of large numbers of young-of-year smallmouth bass suggests spawning is occurring for the first time directly below the dam. The need is to disrupt the establishment of smallmouth bass below Glen Canyon Dam by limiting additional recruitment, which could threaten populations of the threatened humpback chub below the dam.

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Alternatives

Cool Mix Alternative (Preferred Alternative)

The Cool Mix Alternative aims to maintain a daily average water temperature below 15.5 degrees Celsius (C) (60 degrees Fahrenheit [F]) at the target river mile locations below Glen Canyon Dam where smallmouth bass could spawn. It would involve strategic water releases from both the penstocks and river outlet works, with quantities determined by predicted temperatures. Flows would be triggered when temperatures rise above 15.5C (60F), with variations based on monthly water volumes and conditions.

Cool Mix with Flow Spike Alternative

The Cool Mix with Flow Spike Alternative would maintain daily average water temperatures below 15.5C (60F) at the target river mile locations below Glen Canyon Dam. It would include up to three 8-hour flow spikes, with a maximum flow of up to 45,000 cubic feet per second (cfs), to disrupt spawning in margin habitats. HFE releases could replace flow spikes to maximize sediment benefits. Water releases would vary monthly based on predicted temperatures. Flow spikes and HFE releases would be similar but triggered differently. During a flow spike, peak discharge would be up to 32,000 cfs, moving about 133,000 acre-feet of water over 3 days.

Cold Shock Alternative

The Cold Shock Alternative aims to induce short-duration cold shocks, lowering temperatures to 130C (55.4F) at the target river mile locations below Glen Canyon Dam to disrupt smallmouth bass spawning and rearing. Flows would be activated when temperatures rise above 15.50 (60 F), with cold shocks potentially occurring every weekend for up to 12 weekends, lasting 48 hours each. The goal would be to achieve rapid and sustained cooling of the river to disrupt spawning behavior. Actual release capacities may vary slightly based on operational constraints, and hydropower releases are assumed to be 2,000 cfs. Extreme high-temperature scenarios may limit reaching the target temperatures.

Cold Shock with Flow Spike Alternative

The Cold Shock with Flow Spike Alternative would involve releasing water through the river outlet works for 48 hours to induce a cold shock downstream to the targeted river mile. Up to three 8- hour flow spikes may also be implemented if enough water is available to disrupt spawning in warmer margin habitats. The release quantity would be based on predicted temperatures and operational constraints, which would vary' throughout the year. This alternative would start when daily water temperatures at the Little Colorado River reach 15.5C (60F), with weekly 48-hour cold- shock releases and at least one 8-hour flow spike, lasting up to 12 weeks.

Non-Bypass Alternative

The Non-Bypass Alternative would involve strategic river stage changes along the Lees Ferry reach to disrupt smallmouth bass nests and spawning activities below Glen Canyon Dam. It would include a once-weekly, short-duration, low-flow release followed by a short-duration, high-flow release. The low-flow release would target shallow nesting areas, while the high-flow release would increase water velocities in deeper habitats. These releases would be designed to attenuate by the time they reach the Little Colorado River confluence. Flows would start on Sunday nights, peak on Monday morning, and return to normal by Monday afternoon. The treatment would be repeated weekly based on water temperature projections. This alternative aims to disrupt spawning at river mile 61, with adjustments possible during implementation.

Triggers

The cold-water alternatives have been modeled for cooling effects at river miles 15 and 61. Modeling these locations provides a representation of potential effects on resources at different river reaches. The trigger for implementation would be when observed temperatures exceed 15.5 C (60 F) for 3 consecutive days. Currently real time temperature data exists below Glen Canyon Dam and at Lees Ferry (river mile 0). There are additional gauges at river mile 30 and river mile 61, however these gages do not provide real time data, but can be downloaded remotely. For locations that do not have real time temperature data, the best available models would be used to determine trigger timing. The trigger location for the 15.5 C (60 F) threshold could be anywhere upstream of river mile 61, depending on the smallmouth bass distribution and size class, frequency and efficacy of sampling, or other considerations as determined through the planning and implementation process. Smallmouth bass distribution upstream of river mile 61 would be assessed based on the best available information and considered in the planning and implementation process, with the understanding that smallmouth bass sampling is limited below Lees Ferry and can have limited efficacy in assessing the locations of smaller size fish and of fish located in certain riverine environments where sampling is difficult. Smallmouth bass distribution upstream of river mile 61 will be assessed based on the best available information and considered in the planning and implementation process, with the understanding that smallmouth bass sampling can have limited efficacy in assessing the locations of smaller size fish and of fish located in certain riverine environments where sampling is difficult. (ROD)

For 2024, based on the likelihood of needing to respond to increasing river temperatures, this ROD provides guidance for smallmouth bass flow operations. A cool mix would occur when the average daily temperature at river mile 61 exceeds 15.5 C (60 F) for 3 consecutive days. The temperature data would be determined using real-time stream gage data at the dam and at Lees Ferry and existing downstream models (such as Dibble et al. 2021). The Cool Mix Alterative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5 C (60 F) at river mile 61. Temperature and biological monitoring would occur throughout this process to assess effectiveness. Gage data near river mile 61 would be accessed monthly during implementation to confirm temperature targets are being met. (ROD)

The ROD states that in 2024, “The Cool Mix Alternative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5°C (60°F) at river mile 61.” Furthermore, it states that in any given year for each alternative, “The trigger location for the 15.5°C (60°F) threshold could be anywhere upstream of river mile 61, depending on the smallmouth bass distribution and size class, frequency and efficacy of sampling, or other considerations as determined through the planning and implementation process.” (2024 SMB Flow Offramp - Decision Memo)

Offramps

The Cool Mix Alterative would be implemented until the mean daily water temperature (without bypass) falls below 15.5 C (60 F) at river mile 61. (ROD)

Potential off-ramps would be considered based on monitoring data. Off-ramps will occur if any unacceptable adverse impacts on the resources listed in Section 1.3 of the 2016 LTEMP ROD's Attachment B are anticipated. Off-ramps would also occur if the experiments prove to be inefficient at disrupting smallmouth bass spawning and meeting the purpose and need. (ROD)

The expert panel information was provided to the PI Leadership Team who provided the following recommendation for 2024: “Continue Cool Mix-flow to cool to River Mile 61. Stop Cool Mix flows when Glen Canyon Dam penstocks release water temperatures are observed to be at or below 15.5 and anticipated to remain below that threshold as measured by the sonde (NWIS #09379901) immediately below Glen Canyon Dam.” (2024 SMB Flow Offramp - Decision Memo)


Links

Temperature Gages

Documents

Presentations and Papers

2024

2023

Other Stuff