Difference between revisions of "Smallmouth Bass Page"
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| + | |2025||5||46||[https://www.usbr.gov/uc/progact/amp/amwg/2026-02-26-amwg-meeting/uc-gcdamp-amwg-smallmouthbass-508-20260226.pdf 51] | ||
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|2024||2||250||[[Media:LTEMP_SEIS_Cool_Mix_Flow_Summary_Report_Draft4.docx| 254]] | |2024||2||250||[[Media:LTEMP_SEIS_Cool_Mix_Flow_Summary_Report_Draft4.docx| 254]] | ||
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| + | Difficulty arises when trying to compare the number of smallmouth bass being caught from year to year due to changes in capture methodologies. For example, if one were to focus removal efforts in an area where smallmouth bass are concentrated like in a backwater or a slough, the catch per unit effort (or CPUE) would be higher that the CPUE of normal monitoring which by design is done at sites that are selected more at random. | ||
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| + | Additionally, the level of effort can change from year to year and those changes may not be reflected when presenting the number of fish being caught. For example, if one caught a certain number of fish one year using a certain level of effort and then the next year they doubled the level of effort but only caught a third more fish, the CPUE (and relative abundance) would be smaller the second year even though more fish were caught. Both capture methodologies and level of effort has changed from year to year with the numbers of smallmouth bass listed above. | ||
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| − | ! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;"> What is the | + | ! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;"> What is the likelihood of smallmouth bass establishment below Glen Canyon Dam and what risk might that pose to humpback chub in Grand Canyon? </h2> |
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| − | ==[https:// | + | =='''[https://doi.org/10.1093/tafafs/vnaf027 William E Pine, Josh Korman, Richard A Valdez, Carl J Walters. 2025. Assessing the potential for Smallmouth Bass population establishment in Grand Canyon. Transactions of the American Fisheries Society, Volume 154, Issue 5, September 2025, Pages 469–489]'''== |
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| − | + | The expansion of nonnative Smallmouth Bass (Micropterus dolomieu) into the Grand Canyon ecosystem downstream of Glen Canyon Dam is widely seen as a potential threat to native fishes, particularly the Humpback Chub (Gila cypha), which is listed as threatened under the Endangered Species Act. This concern stems from observations in the Green and upper Colorado rivers, where dam-modified habitats and reservoir introductions have allowed Smallmouth Bass to become established and impact native fish species. Our objective was to compare habitat conditions between a Smallmouth Bass population center in the Green River— where Humpback Chub are rare— and two major Humpback Chub population centers in the Colorado River in Grand Canyon, where Smallmouth Bass invasion is a conservation concern, to help assess invasion risk and inform management actions downstream of Glen Canyon Dam. | |
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| − | + | We developed a conceptual model of Smallmouth Bass recruitment potential emphasizing the roles of temperature, turbidity, and the timing of these conditions, based on literature for Smallmouth Bass and Largemouth Bass (Micropterus nigricans). Using U.S. Geological Survey gauge station data, we summarized daily temperature and turbidity patterns near a known Smallmouth Bass population center in the middle Green River (near Jensen, Utah) and compared those with conditions in the Colorado River in Glen Canyon and Grand Canyon downstream from Glen Canyon Dam. We then used our conceptual model of Smallmouth Bass early life history, along with observed turbidity and temperature patterns, to explore how irregular recruitment could affect Smallmouth Bass population dynamics and individual growth potential using an age-structured population model and a bioenergetics model. | |
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| − | + | Although warm reservoir releases due to low water storage in Lake Powell has made temperature regimes in Glen and Grand canyons more similar to those of the middle Green River, the Colorado River ecosystem in Grand Canyon has a very different turbidity regime from that of the middle Green River. The Colorado River in Grand Canyon becomes very turbid during late summer and fall, when tributaries experience flash floods during the North American monsoon season. These periods of high turbidity coincide with critical early life stages of Smallmouth Bass, likely limiting foraging efficiency, growth, and overwinter survival. Our population model indicates that rapidly growing and sustained Smallmouth Bass populations require successful recruitment at least once every 2 years, but empirical data suggest that these conditions occur only every 5–7 years in Grand Canyon. This would make long-term establishment of self-sustaining Smallmouth Bass populations in Grand Canyon unlikely or at least highly uncertain. | |
| − | Despite the presence of nonnative predators, Humpback Chub populations in Grand Canyon have expanded during the past 10–15 years, very likely due to favorably warm river temperature. While Smallmouth Bass in Glen or Marble canyons (between Glen Canyon Dam and the Little Colorado River) may pose a downstream dispersal risk (and potentially a threat to Humpback Chub populations), high turbidity conditions downstream of the Little Colorado River reduce the likelihood of persistent local Smallmouth Bass recruitment. These results suggest that Smallmouth Bass invasion risk to Humpback Chub is not uniform across the Colorado River basin and should be evaluated in the context of the different site- specific water quality and flow regime conditions, other known risks to Humpback Chub, and Humpback Chub population size in different parts of the basin. | + | |
| + | Despite the presence of nonnative predators, Humpback Chub populations in Grand Canyon have expanded during the past 10–15 years, very likely due to favorably warm river temperature. While Smallmouth Bass in Glen or Marble canyons (between Glen Canyon Dam and the Little Colorado River) may pose a downstream dispersal risk (and potentially a threat to Humpback Chub populations), high turbidity conditions downstream of the Little Colorado River reduce the likelihood of persistent local Smallmouth Bass recruitment. These results suggest that Smallmouth Bass invasion risk to Humpback Chub is not uniform across the Colorado River basin and should be evaluated in the context of the different site-specific water quality and flow regime conditions, other known risks to Humpback Chub, and Humpback Chub population size in different parts of the basin. | ||
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| + | =='''[https://doi.org/10.1093/tafafs/vnag026 Charles B Yackulic, Drew E Eppehimer, Lindsey A Bruckerhoff, Anna Amidon, Kevin R Bestgen, Nathaniel Bransky, Kimberly L Dibble, Maria Dzul, Lindsay E Hansen, Brian D Healy, M Tildon Jones, Chris Michaud. 2026. Comment on “Assessing the potential for Smallmouth Bass population establishment in Grand Canyon.” Transactions of the American Fisheries Society]'''== | ||
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| + | Our primary concern is that Pine et al. rely on data from a less turbid segment of the Green River to determine the turbidity tolerance of SMB in Grand Canyon; however, SMB are distributed much farther downstream in the Green River in segments with a greater number of warm, turbid days than the segment of the Green River used by Pine et al. | ||
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| + | Our second major concern is that Pine et al. do not consider contemporary or reasonable future temperature scenarios in their analysis of turbid, warm days in the Grand Canyon ecosystem. The frequency of warm, turbid days increases under the future temperature scenario. This occurs because low reservoir levels allow 16°C to be exceeded earlier in the calendar year during months when the Colorado River in the Grand Canyon ecosystem is less likely to be turbid (e.g., May and June), thereby adding a few warm, turbid days and many warm, clear days. | ||
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| + | Our third concern is that Pine et al. do not address the relatively mild winters in the Grand Canyon ecosystem, which are expected to facilitate SMB establishment in this ecosystem. | ||
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| + | Our final concern is that Pine et al. make conclusions regarding the population impacts of SMB on HBC without a thorough, empirically supported analysis based on absolute abundances of different life stages of SMB (e.g., subadults and adults) and the per capita impacts of these SMB life stages on different life stages of HBC (e.g., juveniles, subadults, and adults). | ||
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| + | =='''[https://doi.org/10.1093/tafafs/vnag027 William E Pine, Josh Korman, Richard A Valdez, Carl J Walters. 2026. Response to Comment on “Assessing the potential for Smallmouth Bass population establishment in Grand Canyon.” Transactions of the American Fisheries Society]'''== | ||
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| + | We evaluated key claims by Yackulic et al. (2026) about Smallmouth Bass risk to Humpback Chub in Marble and Grand canyons. Three conclusions emerge. | ||
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| + | First, Yackulic et al.’s (2026) empirical analysis primarily addresses turbidity frequency but does not directly evaluate the seasonal turbidity structure emphasized by Pine et al. (2025). Warm-season turbidity patterns differed consistently between the Green River and sites in Marble and Grand canyons. At the Green River site near Jensen, turbidity events occurred mainly in June, when water temperatures generally approach the Smallmouth Bass spawning threshold (Pine et al., 2025), reflecting late snowmelt runoff and showing that late-summer and early-fall turbidity events were uncommon in most years. In contrast, early summer at the Colorado River site in Marble Canyon, upstream of the Little Colorado River, and the Colorado River in Grand Canyon downstream of the Little Colorado River, was typically dominated by clear days, while late summer and fall were marked by more frequent and longer turbidity events associated with the North American Monsoon and sediment inputs from key tributaries, including the Paria and Little Colorado rivers. This seasonal difference matters because late-summer and early-fall turbidity directly overlaps the period when age-0 Smallmouth Bass must feed and grow before winter. A turbid day in June, before or near spawning, is not equivalent to a turbid day in August or September, when age-0 Smallmouth Bass are accumulating energy reserves and growing toward sizes that improve overwinter survival. | ||
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| + | Yackulic et al. (2026) argue that Grand Canyon’s relatively short winters reduce the minimum size that age-0 Smallmouth Bass must reach to survive their first winter. We agree that this mechanism is consistent with Shuter et al. (1980), who showed that overwinter survival depends on both body size at the start of winter and the duration of the starvation period. However, this argument increases establishment probability only if age-0 Smallmouth Bass first grow sufficiently during the preceding summer and fall. Winter duration and summer turbidity are not independent filters; they act sequentially on the same cohort. Shorter winters may lower the size threshold for overwinter survival, but late-season turbidity affects whether age-0 Smallmouth Bass can reach that threshold in the first place. If monsoon- driven turbidity repeatedly interrupts foraging from August through October, age-0 Smallmouth Bass may still fail to reach even the lower threshold associated with Grand Canyon’s shorter winters. | ||
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| + | Second, Green River–like Smallmouth Bass densities within the observed range of the Humpback Chub survival model produced modest estimated reductions in juvenile survival. | ||
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| + | Third, the broader history of nonnative predators in Marble and Grand canyons is consistent with the hypothesis that warm-season turbidity and other downstream habitat conditions can limit high-density populations of visually oriented predators downstream from Glen Canyon. The Little Colorado River inflow population has persisted over the past three decades despite periods of high densities of nonnative Rainbow Trout, Brown Trout, and Green Sunfish, as well as main-stem Colorado River conditions considered too cold for Humpback Chub recruitment. | ||
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| + | Several factors could reduce the likelihood that Smallmouth Bass predation alone would cause immediate population level effects across Grand Canyon. The history of several nonnative predators suggests that high abundance in Glen Canyon does not necessarily translate into high abundance in Marble or Grand canyons, where turbidity and other downstream habitat conditions may limit dispersal, survival, or persistence. Additionally, the Little Colorado River likely provides a partial refuge for Humpback Chub given its frequent high turbidity and elevated dissolved solids. Western Grand Canyon Humpback Chub aggregations occur far downstream from Glen Canyon, where Lake Powell may serve as a Smallmouth Bass source population. Finally, Smallmouth Bass were detected in western Grand Canyon before the formation of Pearce Ferry Rapid but did not develop a documented self-sustaining population there despite thermal suitability and proximity to a Lake Mead source population. These observations do not mean that Smallmouth Bass pose little risk to Humpback Chub; they indicate that risk depends on whether Smallmouth Bass can establish and maintain high densities in places and seasons where vulnerable Humpback Chub life stages are exposed. | ||
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| + | The central disagreement between Pine et al. (2025) and Yackulic et al. (2026) is not whether turbidity can influence Smallmouth Bass abundance; both papers accept that it can. Rather, the disagreement concerns which features of the turbidity regime are most relevant for recruitment risk. Yackulic et al. (2026) emphasize the frequency of warm, turbid days during the warm season. Pine et al. (2025) emphasize seasonal turbidity structure: when turbid events occur, how intense they are, and whether they persist long enough to interrupt feeding and growth during critical early life stages. The key question for Grand Canyon is therefore not whether Smallmouth Bass recruitment could ever occur but whether favorable recruitment years would occur often enough to sustain the high Smallmouth Bass densities necessary to reverse more than a decade of Humpback Chub population growth. | ||
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'''2024''' | '''2024''' | ||
| − | *[https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1304&context=etd2023 Friesen, Barrett T., "Invasion Potential of Nonnative Fishes Through a Large Western Dam Into a Prized and Vulnerable Ecosystem" (2024). All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Fall 2023 to Present. | + | *[https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1304&context=etd2023 Friesen, Barrett T., "Invasion Potential of Nonnative Fishes Through a Large Western Dam Into a Prized and Vulnerable Ecosystem" (2024). All Graduate Theses and Dissertations, Fall 2023 to Present. ] |
*[[Media:LTEMP_SEIS_Cool_Mix_Flow_Summary_Report_Draft4.docx|2024 Cool Mix Flow Summary Report]] | *[[Media:LTEMP_SEIS_Cool_Mix_Flow_Summary_Report_Draft4.docx|2024 Cool Mix Flow Summary Report]] | ||
*[https://qcnr.usu.edu/coloradoriver/files/research/2024-SMB-Report-3.pdf Review of Smallmouth Bass Management in the Colorado River Ecosystem] | *[https://qcnr.usu.edu/coloradoriver/files/research/2024-SMB-Report-3.pdf Review of Smallmouth Bass Management in the Colorado River Ecosystem] | ||
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*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50m8DoiKVVU Video 1] | *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=50m8DoiKVVU Video 1] | ||
*[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBDDliPHdVk Video 2] | *[https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zBDDliPHdVk Video 2] | ||
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| + | ! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">Will smallmouth bass spawn in the fall?</h2> | ||
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| + | [https://storre.stir.ac.uk/handle/1893/29308 Cantin (1994)] found that natural spawning occurs in spring (April to July) when the photophase (duration of daylight) is long and increasing and water temperatures are between 15°C to 25°C. Under controlled laboratory conditions, she found that spawning could be induced from January to the end of June independently of the photophase. Individual spawnings indicated that the same female can spawn more than once per season and at different times of the year if the right developmental and spawning conditions are met. At the end of the experiments, the fish left from all the groups were stocked, in mid-July, into a lake. August and September spawnings were then observed. These spawnings occurred with temperature fluctuations between 15-18°C and decreasing photoperiod. | ||
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Latest revision as of 20:44, 18 August 2026
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Smallmouth Bass (Micropterus dolomieui)The predatory threat of invasive and large-bodied piscivorous taxa such as smallmouth bass in the upper Colorado River basin is substantial. For example, based on results of a bioenergetics model, Johnson et al. (2008) ranked smallmouth bass as the most problematic invasive species because of their high abundance, habitat use that overlaps with most native fishes, and ability to consume a wide variety of life stages of native fishes (Bestgen et al. 2008). Expanded populations of piscivores such as smallmouth bass are a major impediment to conservation actions aimed at recovery efforts for the four endangered fishes in the upper Colorado River basin (U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service 2002a, b, c, d). [1] |
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