Difference between revisions of "2019 Knowledge Assessment"

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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">  Final Knowledge Assessment Summary Tables for All Resources </h2>
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! <h2 style="margin:0; background:#cedff2; font-size:120%; font-weight:bold; border:1px solid #a3b0bf; text-align:left; color:#000; padding:0.2em 0.4em;">  Final Knowledge Assessment Summary Tables for Resources Evaluated in 2019-20 </h2>
 
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*[[Media:20200109 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 recreational experience.xlsx| Recreational experience]]
 
 
*[[Media:20200107 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 aquatic food base.xlsx| Aquatic food base]]
 
*[[Media:20200107 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 aquatic food base.xlsx| Aquatic food base]]
 
*[[Media:20200109 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 hydropower.xlsx| Hydropower]]
 
*[[Media:20200109 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 hydropower.xlsx| Hydropower]]
*[[Media:20200107 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 water quality.xlsx| Water quality]]
 
 
*[[Media:20200106 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 other native fish.xlsx| Other native fish]]
 
*[[Media:20200106 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 other native fish.xlsx| Other native fish]]
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*[[Media:20200109 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 recreational experience.xlsx| Recreational experience]]
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*[[Media:20200107 GCDAMP 2019-20 KA Tables v2 water quality.xlsx| Water quality]]
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*Other resources were not evaluated due to time and personnel constraints
  
 
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Revision as of 14:54, 3 February 2020


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2019-20 Knowledge Assessment (KA)

The GCDAMP periodically undertakes a review of the knowledge on which it bases its advice to the Secretary. This knowledge and advice crucially help inform the decisions of the Secretary concerning adaptive management of dam operations and their impacts. The review – here termed a ‘knowledge assessment’ – assesses the knowledge, and the reliability or certainty of the knowledge, for three broad objectives, to: (1) summarize what is known; (2) assess ongoing needs for monitoring to sustain crucial knowledge; and (3) identify crucial gaps and weaknesses in this knowledge that require attention.

This KA is intended as a planning tool to help the TWG with developing a recommendation to the Adaptive Management Work Group for the FY21-23 Budget and Work Plan. It is a part of a broader process of information gathering and assessment used for the GCDAMP that also includes but is not limited to formal consultations (e.g., tribal government to federal government consultations), Annual Reporting meetings, TWG meetings, and TWG ad hoc group meetings. For example, the outcomes of this KA are intended to be used by the Budget Ad Hoc Group to help organize discussions of potential work activities to be considered for the FY21-23 Budget and Work Plan. Because this document describes only a western scientific knowledge assessment approach and not a traditional ecological knowledge (TEK) assessment approach, the product from this effort is only a part of a broader assessment of knowledge. A TEK assessment approach is expected to be piloted this year so it is important to again note that this western scientific knowledge assessment is only part of a broader assessment of knowledge. [1]

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Updates

Upcoming calls

Aquatic Food Base: Ted Kennedy (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 18, 2019 from 12:30 – 2:30pm MST
  • First call conference line: 844-621-3956;732446632#
  • First call Webex: click here
  • Second call: January 7 from 1-3pm MST
  • Second call conference line: 844-621-3956;738663593#
  • Second call Webex: click here


Archaeological and Cultural Resources:


Humpback Chub: Charles Yackulic (Team Lead)


Hydropower and Energy: Craig Ellsworth (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 19, 2019 from noon – 2pm MST
  • First call conference line: 866-820-4802;4086526#
  • First call Webex: click here
  • Second call: January 9, 2020 from 1pm – 5pm MST
  • Second call conference line: 866-820-4802;4086526#
  • Second call Webex: click here


Invasive Fish Species: David Rogowski (Team Lead)


Other Native Fish Species: Brian Healy (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 17 at 2:00 PM MST
  • First call conference line: 877-991-3746;5981401#
  • Second call: December 20 at 10:00 AM MST
  • Second call conference line: 877-991-3746;5981401#


Rainbow Trout Fishery: Mike Yard (Team Lead)


Recreational Experience: Lucas Bair (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 12 from 2:00 - 3:30 PM MST
  • First call conference line: 703-648-4848;686871#
  • Second call: January 2 from 10:00 - 11:30 AM MST
  • Second call conference line: 703-648-4848;686871#


Sediment: Paul Grams (Team Lead), David Topping (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 19, 2019 from 11am MST
  • First call conference line: 844-621-3956;730494739#
  • First call Webex: click here
  • Second call:
  • Conference line:


Water Quality: Bridget Deemer (Team Lead), Peggy Roefer (Team Lead)

  • First call: December 10 at 3:00 PM MST
  • First call conference line: 844-621-3956
  • First call Webex: click here
  • Second call: December 19 at 1:00 PM MST
  • First call conference line: 844-621-3956;730278387#
  • First call Webex: click here

Summary [1]

The present Knowledge Assessment seeks to answer three sets of questions for each of the ten selected resource topics, from a scientific perspective:

Status and Trend

  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the status of the condition(s) addressed by the topic? (Note, quantifiable objectives have not been developed for most resource topics, therefore, a lesson learned from the 2017 Knowledge Assessment was that this question may not be appropriate for all resource topics).
  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the strength and direction of any trend(s) in these conditions?
  • How certain or uncertain is this understanding (confidence)?

Drivers and Constraints

  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the factors (drivers and constraints – see definitions below) that significantly shape the status and trends in these conditions?
  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the strength and direction of these effects?
  • How certain or uncertain is this understanding (confidence)?

Effects of Management Actions

  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the ways in which each type of GCDAMP management action affects or could affect the status and trends in these conditions?
  • What is our present understanding (hypotheses) concerning the strength and direction of these effects?
  • How certain or uncertain is this understanding (confidence)?

The last of these three sets of questions may focus on the following actions, identified in the LTEMP FEIS as components of the Selected Alternative and in other agency decision documents (Note, a lesson learned from the 2017 Knowledge Assessment was that not all management actions need to be evaluated every year.):

  • Spring HFEs ≤ 45,000 cfs in March or April
  • Proactive Spring HFEs ≤ 45,000 cfs in April, May, or June
  • Fall HFEs ≤ 45,000 cfs in October or November
  • Fall HFEs > 96‐hr duration
  • Trout management flows
  • Macroinvertebrate production flows
  • Humpback chub translocation
  • Mechanical removal of rainbow trout from LCR reach
  • Mechanical removal of invasive fish species
  • Larval humpback chub head-start program
  • Riparian vegetation restoration (not assessed for 2019-20)
  • Incentivized harvest (new for 2019-20)

Through its answers to the three core questions presented above, the present Knowledge Assessment seeks to:

  • Summarize information on status, trends, and the state of knowledge for the nine priority resource topics, from a scientific perspective.
  • Summarize expectations about the likely effects of proposed LTEMP management actions.
  • Document the state of knowledge of how antecedent conditions, as well as external drivers and constraints, may affect the outcomes of different management actions.
  • Identify potential needs for continuing, increasing, reducing, revising, or adding monitoring, research, and other information-gathering efforts to address potentially crucial gaps in knowledge.

Links and Information

Documents

Presentations


Final Knowledge Assessment Summary Tables for Resources Evaluated in 2019-20

  • Other resources were not evaluated due to time and personnel constraints

Final Knowledge Assessment Tables for Individual Resources

Aquatic Food Base

Archaeological & Cultural Resources

Humpback Chub

Hydropower & Energy

Invasive Fish Species

Other Native Fish Species

Rainbow Trout Fishery

Recreational Experience

Sediment

Water Quality